feat(pre-push-safety-net): measure frozen runtime feasibility and retain no-go

.kiro/specs/pre-push-safety-net/implementation-group-8.md

@@ -35,3 +35,74 @@ missing-base, hook-exit and ordinary-scan regressions.
 - CLAIM: Task 8.1 integration regression coverage delivered.
 - EVIDENCE: `/tmp/group8-1-focused.log`: 3 passed; `/tmp/group8-1-full.log`: 1299 passed, 9 skipped; static checks exit 0.
 - GAPS: These controlled failures do not qualify real detector capabilities or representative latency.
+
+## Task 8.2 brief
+
+Requirements 4.1, 4.2, 6.2, 6.3, 6.5 and 7.3; evaluation/runtime integration boundary.
+Freeze full pinned NodeGoat histories before measuring: three distinct function edits,
+dependency edits, configuration edits, growth histories and multi-ref transactions,
+plus three identical-comparison and three uncached controls. Each edit repetition has
+a distinct tree, avoiding accidental identical-tip reuse. Retain all 21 transactions,
+exact source byte receipt, installed semantics, hardware, selected/deferred counts,
+expected target checks, stage process receipts and whole CLI elapsed time. A separate
+600-second priming run is diagnostic and cannot replace a 30-second gate sample.
+
+Nearest-rank p50/p95 include timeout durations and report small sample counts explicitly.
+A missing artifact or abnormal CLI exit is an instrument error, never a clean result.
+Source/vendor/context/coverage gaps remain gaps. NodeGoat remains development data;
+this runtime experiment cannot qualify independent alert precision or broad production
+performance. Engine lifecycle costs route to contributor-scan's runtime follow-up.
+
+### Task 8.2 measured outcome
+
+Packaged image `af5b896b406fe98acb3d00bb2180a7549febd6dd285f0b63087538118e52e1f4`,
+network disabled, UID 1000, 3 GiB memory limit; CPU/affinity and installed identities
+are in `benchmarks/measurements/2026-09-13-nodegoat-feasibility.json`. All 21 artifacts
+match the frozen core/facts/queries/policy/runtime/semantics. All 24 declared target
+checks remain incomplete. Priming took 224.47 seconds and did not qualify graph/answer
+reuse; subsequent cache attempts establish discovery reuse only.
+
+| Workload | n | p50 seconds | p95 seconds | Timeouts | Completed target checks |
+|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
+| Identical comparison | 3 | 30.635 | 30.644 | 3 | 0/3 |
+| Distinct function edits | 3 | 30.611 | 30.663 | 3 | 0/3 |
+| Dependency edits | 3 | 30.627 | 30.712 | 3 | 0/3 |
+| Configuration edits | 3 | 30.606 | 30.728 | 3 | 0/3 |
+| Cold | 3 | 30.609 | 30.631 | 3 | 0/3 |
+| Growth | 3 | 30.894 | 30.912 | 3 | 0/3 |
+| Multi-ref | 3 | 30.652 | 30.692 | 3 | 0/6 |
+
+These are observed timings of the declared attempts, not proof of a qualified warm
+graph path. All timeouts remain in the population. Cancellation/reporting meets the
+2-second allowance in these samples; latency and completion do not meet the joint gate.
+Runtime and rollout verdict: **NO-GO**. The n=3 quantiles do not establish multi-project
+production performance. The full 116-file receipt bundle is 1,254,241 bytes compressed,
+SHA-256 `3174bfc0bd39e10b685d06d8bc28ab39450368f1a441e64bbb5a27a256bf13c6`.
+Decompression was compared to every original file. Both measured instrument bytes and
+the original frozen scorecard are retained; later scorer hardening preserves the
+measurements and adds missing-workload and multi-ref-denominator checks.
+
+Owner routing: `../contributor-scan/pre-push-runtime-followup.md` separates raw named
+census reconciliation from frontend/overlay/JVM/query lifecycle optimization. Do not
+retune the ranker or weaken the population/gates to compensate.
+
+## Status Report
+- STATUS: READY_FOR_REVIEW
+- TASK: 8.2
+- RED_PHASE_OUTPUT: `/tmp/group8-2-red.log` (missing scorer) and `/tmp/group8-2-flag-off.log` (disabled scorer). ON passed; switch removed, seven final scorer tests passed.
+- TESTS_RUN: full suite 1306 passed, 9 skipped in 117.63s; ruff, formatting, mypy and diff checks pass. Frozen packaged measurement completed with exit 1 and full NO-GO scorecard, no missing artifacts or abnormal CLI exits.
+
+## Review Verdict
+- VERDICT: APPROVED
+- TASK: 8.2
+- MECHANICAL_RESULTS: actual harness, fixtures, scorecard and receipt bundle reviewed. Input bytes/pins, distinct edit histories, all 21 runs, stage exits, fixed target denominators and source/runtime identity checks retained. Invalid numbers, duplicate/unplanned rows, missing workload classes and missing cases cannot qualify runtime. No production/ranker/fact changes.
+- FINDINGS: Initial warm-graph precondition failed; the report explicitly limits reuse claims. The unchanged runtime gates fail. Engine lifecycle and named census follow-up routed to contributor-scan.
+- RED phase: VERIFIED.
+- SUMMARY: Reproducible runtime evaluation is complete with a measured NO-GO result.
+
+## Verification Result
+- STATUS: VERIFIED
+- CLAIM_TYPE: TASK
+- CLAIM: Task 8.2 completed its prescribed measurement and owner routing; rollout remains NO-GO.
+- EVIDENCE: Versioned scorecard and 116-file verified bundle; seven scorer controls and full regression suite pass.
+- GAPS: No qualified warm graph path or independent capability eligibility established. These failed gates cannot authorize rollout.

.kiro/specs/pre-push-safety-net/spec.json

@@ -116,9 +116,10 @@
       "7.1",
       "7.2",
       "7.3",
-      "8.1"
+      "8.1",
+      "8.2"
     ],
-    "remaining_tasks": 3,
+    "remaining_tasks": 2,
     "verification_record": "implementation-group-8.md",
     "verification_records": [
       "implementation-group-1.md",
@@ -132,6 +133,6 @@
     ],
     "next_group": 8,
     "blocked_tasks": [],
-    "feasibility": "NO-GO for rollout: compatible identical-revision reuse verified; representative changed-code p95/completion and independent alert eligibility remain unmet."
+    "feasibility": "NO-GO: all 21 frozen NodeGoat transactions timed out; 0/24 declared target checks completed. Cancellation/reporting remained below 2 seconds. Priming did not qualify graph reuse; named census and engine lifecycle work routed to contributor-scan."
   }
 }

.kiro/specs/pre-push-safety-net/tasks.md

@@ -218,7 +218,7 @@ independent capability qualification. Groups 7–8 remain pending; rollout remai
   - Done when the integration suite covers the critical flows through the real CLI/backend seams and preserves ordinary scan behavior.
   - _Boundary: Push runner integration tests_
   - _Requirements: 1.1, 1.2, 1.3, 1.4, 2.2, 2.3, 4.2, 4.4, 5.2, 5.5, 7.1, 7.4, 8.2_
-- [ ] 8.2 Measure realistic cache and deadline feasibility
+- [x] 8.2 Measure realistic cache and deadline feasibility
   - Measure identical-tip reuse, a warm one-function edit, dependency/configuration edits, cold starts, repository growth and multi-ref workloads on declared hardware.
   - If reuse correctness passes but changed-code checks time out, identify preparation, frontend/overlay/census and query costs separately and route the remaining optimization to its owning boundary before rollout GO. Preserve the declared gates and do not substitute identical-tip latency.
   - Publish p50/p95, timeouts, cancellation allowance, completed/deferred population and stage costs; the denominator is fixed before ranker selection.