Task 2.4. Per family, and per slice when asked: outcome counts, recall, silence,
Youden, a directional-bias index and recall at a fixed false-positive ceiling.
Rows that cannot be scored are listed by reason and leave every denominator, and
a family with nothing scorable reports no rate rather than a perfect one.
Two numbers exist because Youden cannot tell apart a detector that flags
everything from one that says everything is safe: the directional-bias index
separates them, and recall at a fixed ceiling is forfeited entirely once a
family leaks more than the budget allows.
Change against a baseline is not a difference of means. Flips are counted per
pair in both directions and a two-sided exact sign test decides whether the
change is bigger than the noise, so one flip in ten reads as noise and six reads
as a real regression.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <[email protected]>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01T7XD7x5KonMdmGRkp63EQG
