Verified on the records: the push replay arms hardcode model="disabled", max_model_calls=0, cost_usd=0 (NO LLM) and engine_covered=0 (engine never ran, ~200s wall). So the measured catch~2.5% is the quick pattern-rule tier ALONE -- grep-with-structure. Pattern rules alone will never be enough. Reprioritize G2 after record 07 to an efficiency barrier analysis over the two tiers that carry detection and both sat out: - engine (Joern dataflow): E1 split the ~150s evidence-fixed (JVM/graph-load/ census); E2 does a warm session + graph preload at build kill it (decisive); E3 analysis per-pair; E4 build vs repo size. - LLM adjudication: L1 model latency + calls per push; L2 recall lift over regex+dataflow on the pool. Deliverable: a barrier table (budget x tier combo -> fits? measured recall/FP) for a realistic pre-push window (<=120s target, 300s hard) -> minimal releasable config. Change-scoping branch is a late add-on (trims only the per-pair tail), not the lever. Also fixed a stray </content> tag in the brief. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <[email protected]>
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Engine change-scoped analysis (G2 workstream)
Status: proposed / in progress (opened 2026-10-11). Owner: engine. Tracks a concrete lever for the engine-detection gap found while driving the G0 baseline. This is G2 ("improve what moves the unseen-repo numbers"), gated on the pool metric; it is NOT part of the G0 record-07 baseline (that runs on the quick-rule tier).
Problem (measured, not assumed)
On real unseen vulnerability changes the engine produces no finding — but the diagnosis (live, 300 s long-deadline replays) shows it is usually not a detection-capability gap:
- Clean Python injection change (
aws/bedrock-agentcore-sdk-python,install_packages, introducing, 3-file diff):wall=303 s, hit the deadline. The ranker found candidates (static_rank=1.0) butselected: []and every candidatedeferredwithreason: deadline_exhausted,analysis_not_started=deadline_exhausted,change_context_incomplete. Zero analyses ran. And the ranked candidates were repo-wide and unrelated to the push (auth.pyaccess_control/config_secrets), not the changedinstall_packages. The engine is trying to re-audit the whole repo and runs out of budget before analyzing the change. - Noisy last_touch config_secrets change (
jenkinsci/metrics-plugin, 14-file diff): finished in 206 s butcomparison_unknown+capability_unavailable+eligibility_provenance_mismatch+contributor-scan ... projection_unavailable. Multi-causal; correspondence was one part (fixed separately, commitc39fbb8), capability registry is Task 8.3.
Hypothesis
A pre-push hook should vet the code this push changed, not re-scan the whole repository. Seeding/scoping the
engine's analysis to the changed declarations and their dataflow neighborhood (the change_sites are already in
the replay spec) should let analysis actually run within budget instead of being deferred — which is where
detection is being lost, not in Joern's capability.
Anchors (confirm in increment 1)
src/openultrasast/rank.py— the static-evidence ranker (ranking_mode="evidence",existing-static-evidence-v1).src/openultrasast/mapping.py— builds theselected/deferredscope + the budget allocation that defers ondeadline_exhausted.src/openultrasast/push/policy.py,push/runner.py— consume the scope; change_sites arrive via the push input.benchmarks/unseen/replay_entry.py— carrieschanged_paths/declaration_pathsin the spec.
Increments (progress tracking)
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0. Cost split confirmed (2026-10-11, timed live replay).
build_seconds=66.69(CPG build is cheap),query_seconds=0.0(no query ever executed), total 303 s (hit the deadline), 4,095 candidate questions allanalysis_not_started=deadline_exhausted,selected: [],regions_scanned=0. So of the 303 s, ~67 s built the CPG and ~236 s went to enumerating/ranking/preparing 4,095 repo-wide candidate questions for a 3-file change — the budget was spent before a single query ran. The CPG build is NOT the bottleneck; the over-broad candidate set is. Change-scoping is confirmed as the right lever, and because per-candidate prep includes the line-correspondence work, fewer candidates also cuts that cost (the two fixes compound). -
1. Located (2026-10-11). The over-enumeration is upstream of the scan, not inside it:
push/runner.py:345-348—head_regions = discovery(tip.root, …)discovers regions across the whole head tree (the ~4,095), independent of the change.push/runner.py:397-407— those regions are passed wholesale toscan_repository(..., change_context=context);change_contextis threaded in but never scopes the region set.model/scan.py:167and:364—[_identity(unit, r, f) for r in regions for f in r.families]enumerates all regions × families; withorder_by_evidence=True(runner.py:288/403) the scan evidence-tiers every pair before analysis — that pre-work is the ~236 s measured in increment 0, so the deadline hits atquery_seconds=0.- Primitive already present:
model/regions.py:279computes the changed-path set from the context;compare_targeted_base(runner.py:411) is a precedent for change-targeted work. - Fix locus (increment 2): restrict the analyzed region set to the change's declarations + dataflow
neighbourhood (filter
head_regionsbycontext.changed_pathsbefore the scan, or scope the enumeration insidescan_repository). Keep the CPG whole-repo so taint queries can still trace sources from unchanged code into the changed regions — only the question set is change-scoped.
Correction (2026-10-11), after a reverted first attempt — two things the naive filter got wrong:
- The engine already reaches into unchanged code by design, and it is tested. A changed
sourcethat reaches an unchangedsinkmust still select the unchanged sink's question (tests/test_model_change_context.py::test_changed_dependency_reaches_unchanged_ranked_question;test_change_does_not_replace_ranker_selectionpins that change context must NOT alter the ranker's selection)._changed_filesfeeds_evidence_passonly ascontextFilter/contextPaths— which locations to itemise vs summarise — NOT to shrink the tier population. A "changed files only" scope deletes the reach-into-unchanged behaviour. Any scope must keep changed regions plus the regions they reach (the affected/relationshipsneighbourhood), not changed files alone. - The 236 s is now split (2026-10-11, saved artifacts).
total=291s build=52s query=0s arbitrate=238.75s, andquery_seconds_by_kind["evidence"]=238.54s— the evidence-tier pass is 99.9 % of the arbitrate phase;affected_context+_scope_workare 0.21 s. The pass tiered 1,015 pairs (tier_counts 0:1009, 1:6) at ~235 ms/pair (contended; ~120 ms uncontended) and that alone blew the budget —selected=0,deferred=1365alldeadline_exhausted. Secondary anomaly: the design assumes ~2.5 ms/pair ("17,700 in 44 s"); here it is 50–100× that, i.e. the evidence query is pathologically slow on a cold large CPG — a separate optimisation from cutting the pair count. - So increment 2's single target is the evidence pass (
scan.py:338-359,_evidence_pass). The fork is HOW to cut it without deleting reach-into-unchanged:- (i) Scope + bound: order the evidence candidates change-first and bound the pass to a fraction of the budget so analysis queries still run; reached unchanged regions are tiered only while budget lasts.
- (ii) Neighbourhood pass: tier the changed regions, read the reached regions from the context rows the pass already returns, tier those in a second small pass — exact reach-into-unchanged, more code.
- (iii) Per-pair speedup: attack the ~235 ms/pair (warm server / batching) rather than the pair count — helps every scan but is a deeper engine change and does not by itself bound a huge repo.
CORRECTION (2026-10-11, after implementing (i) + four live re-verifies — the cost model was wrong). Scope + bound was built and tested (change-first ordering, adaptive budget-fitted portioning,
_context_passscoped to changed files, honestevidence_pass_boundeddegradation; branchengine-change-scoped-evidence-pass). It correctly cut the tiered pair count — butquery_secondsstayed 0 every time. The live numbers show why:pairs tiered run_batch calls evidence s build s 1015 1 238 52 512 1 219 68 64 2 220 68 4 (probe) 1 160 127 Evidence time is flat regardless of pair count → the cost is per-call fixed (~150–220 s: loading the CPG into the query engine + the census the evidenceOnly batch computes), ~85 ms/pair on top. Pair-count scoping therefore cannot free budget, and portioning re-pays the fixed cost per call (so (i) can be counterproductive). Build is also large and swings 52→127 s — two engines thrashing the 7 GB host (the record-07 baseline shares it). The real levers are now (iii)-shaped, not (i): warm/persistent query engine or a cached census to kill the ~150 s per-call fixed cost, and/or a bigger engine-arm budget than 300 s; plus a clean (uncontended) measurement, because contention alone may be inflating build + fixed cost 2–3×. Scope+bound is NOT merged.
UNCONTENDED measurement (2026-10-11, baseline paused via SIGSTOP + container kill, then resumed). Shipped engine, one evidence call over 1,015 pairs:
build=48 s,evidence=243.79 s,query=0. The evidence pass is the same ~244 s uncontended as ~238 s contended → the cost is INTRINSIC, not contention; contention only inflatedbuild(48 → 127 s) and added run-to-run noise. The model isevidence ≈ 150 s fixed (CPG load into the query engine + the census the evidenceOnly batch computes) + ~93 ms/pair(244 = 150 + 1015×0.093). Consequences:- ~200 s of fixed overhead (
build+ evidence-load) precedes any analysis, so a 300 s budget leaves only ~100 s for everything else. This is whyquery=0even on a clean host. - Change-scoping still helps, but only by cutting the per-pair tail (~1,015×93 ms ≈ 95 s): one evidence call over ~30 changed pairs is ~150 s + 3 s instead of 244 s, which would free ~90 s — possibly enough for analysis, but marginal.
- It must be ONE call, not portioned. The ~150 s is a first-call load, so the adaptive probe attributed it to
its 4 probe pairs (per-pair≈37 s), concluded the budget fit ~0 more, and tiered only 4 — the implemented
scope+bound is doubly wrong for this cost model. The correct shape: change-first candidates, count-capped, ONE
evidence call,
deadline=None. - Pre-push viability: the ~200 s fixed floor means the engine arm cannot be a fast (≤30 s) pre-push check on a repo this size without a warm/persistent session or a cached census. A larger budget (e.g. 600 s) makes the benchmark arm run but is not a realistic pre-push deadline. The lever that matters for the product is killing the ~150 s fixed cost, not scoping pairs.
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2. Seed analysis from the change. Prioritize (or restrict first-pass to) the changed declarations plus their call/data neighborhood over repo-wide static rank, within budget.
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3. Soundness. Keep cross-file dataflow INTO the changed function (don't scope to literal changed lines); add tests; keep existing push tests green.
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4. Live re-test. Re-run the bedrock change: does analysis now RUN and produce a finding on
install_packages(vsdeferred)? Re-run metrics-plugin. -
5. Measure the delta. Engine-arm sample on the pool (catch/false-alarm + engine-coverage rate) — needs the kube lane (blocked on the AX completion path) for scale.
Dependencies / notes
- Coverage
complete_within_scopealso needs the capability registry (Task 8.3) regardless of this work; the win here is findings moving fromcomparison_unknown/deferred to a decided novelty → advisory engine finding. - Implement directly and verify on the LIVE instrument (a fake-client/unit pass is not evidence the live engine changed); the kube-lane and store endpoints are operator-owned infra, not assumptions to make here.
Efficiency barrier analysis (post-record-07 priority)
What the record-07 baseline actually measured (verified on the records): regex only. The default and
long_deadline replay arms both hardcode model="disabled", max_model_calls=0, cost_usd=0 — no LLM is
called — and the engine never completed (engine_covered=0, the ~200 s wall). So the measured catch≈2.5% is
the quick pattern-rule tier alone: essentially grep-with-structure. This is the FLOOR, not the product, and it
confirms the maintainer's point — pattern rules alone will never be enough, or grep would do. The product's
detection lives in two tiers that did NOT run:
| Tier | Mechanism | Measured cost (uncontended, mid-size repo) | Ran? | Catch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 quick rules | regex/pattern over changed lines | ~seconds | yes | 2.5% (floor) |
| 2 engine (Joern) | CPG build + taint/dataflow | build 48 s + evidence (150 s fixed + 93 ms/pair) + analysis (unmeasured) | no (walled) | unknown |
| 3 LLM adjudication | model judgment / search-with-proof (hunter, fusion, decision engine) | model latency + $/call (unmeasured in the push path) | no (disabled) | unknown |
The barrier: a releasable net needs tier 2 and/or tier 3 to run and catch within a realistic pre-push window — target ≤60–120 s (developer patience), hard ceiling 300 s. The analysis is a budget ledger per tier against that window, and the measurements each needs:
- Engine barrier (tier 2). Fixed floor
build(48) + evidence_fixed(~150) ≈ 198 sprecedes any dataflow answer. Measure (clean host): E1 split the ~150 s into JVM-start / graph-load / census; E2 does a warm session with the graph preloaded at build eliminateevidence_fixedon the first query (the decisive architectural test)?; E3 analysis (reachableByFlows) per-pair cost + warm reuse; E4 build cost vs repo size. Levers in priority order: warm session + graph preload → cached census → change-scope the per-pair tail. - LLM barrier (tier 3). Unmeasured in the push path. Measure: L1 model round-trip latency per call (DeepSeek) and calls needed per push for the decision/proof stage; L2 the recall LIFT of tier 3 over tiers 1+2 on the pool — does the LLM catch what regex and dataflow miss, and at what $ and latency per push?
- Deliverable: a barrier table — for budget ∈ {60, 120, 300, 600} s × each tier combination, does it FIT and what is the MEASURED recall/false-alarm on the pool — identifying the minimal viable config for a releasable net. 600 s unblocks the benchmark arm but is not a pre-push deadline; the product target is tiers 2+3 under ~120 s.
Sequence: finish G0 (record 07) → E1/E2 first (they decide whether the warm session alone crosses the engine
barrier) → E3/E4 → L1/L2. Each on a clean host (the session times out contended). The change-scoped branch
(engine-change-scoped-evidence-pass, unmerged) only trims the tier-2 per-pair tail and is a late add-on, not the
lever.